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Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tottenham Hotspur (K) v Aston Villa (K) — Team-Based Signals
Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-4
HT 1-2
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Tottenham Hotspur (K)
İNKPL
Tottenham Hotspur (K) 2-3 Aston Villa (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa (K) squeezed past Tottenham Hotspur (K) 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aston Villa (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Tottenham Hotspur (K) had 54% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 46%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.81 to 1.27 — on chances, Tottenham Hotspur (K) could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Tottenham Hotspur (K) and 2.00 for Aston Villa (K).
What was the final score of Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?
Tottenham Hotspur (K) 2-3 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tottenham Hotspur (K) 33%, draw 22%, Aston Villa (K) 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.