Motala AIF FK 4-3 FBK Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.7pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 48%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.79/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.92
+81% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
255 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Motala AIF FK vs FBK Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motala AIF FK edged past FBK Karlstad 4-3. The game was level at 3-3 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Motala AIF FK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Motala AIF FK vs FBK Karlstad?

Motala AIF FK 4-3 FBK Karlstad in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motala AIF FK vs FBK Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motala AIF FK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Motala AIF FK 39%, draw 24%, FBK Karlstad 36%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motala AIF FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motala AIF FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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