U. Catolica 2-1 Deportes Limache — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Limache EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.52/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.52
+19% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
20.3 Crosses 15.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
2-1
AWAY Deportes Limache
2.63 xG 0.56
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
419 Passes 154
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 12
38 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica edged past Deportes Limache 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had U. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, U. Catolica had 70% of the ball to Deportes Limache's 30%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.63 to 0.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold U. Catolica's control.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache?

U. Catolica 2-1 Deportes Limache in the Chile - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 44%, draw 28%, Deportes Limache 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (U. Catolica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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