Chacarita Juniors 3-2 Colon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.29
No
67%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.0pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.8pp
33%
BTTS Yes
40%
-6.4pp
67%
BTTS No
60%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Colon EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.34/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/0.39
+20% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Colon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
412 Passes 253
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
13 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.04.2018 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 0-2 HT 0-2 Colon Colon ARJ
20.02.2010 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-2 HT 0-1 Colon Colon ARJ
19.09.2009 Colon Colon 3-1 HT 2-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJ
27.06.2004 Colon Colon 1-2 HT 1-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJ
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs Colon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chacarita Juniors nicked a narrow win over Colon 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chacarita Juniors as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Colon led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 2.00 for Colon.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs Colon?

Chacarita Juniors 3-2 Colon in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs Colon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chacarita Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 41%, draw 27%, Colon 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chacarita Juniors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chacarita Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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