Guabira 2-4 Bolivar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
39%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
28%
+11.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
49%
-10.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.5pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivar EU Bookmakers 54%
+23% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -19%
1.24/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.12
+57% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
279 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 83%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
16.3 Crosses 18.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bolivar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.90 xG 1.90
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
229 Passes 293
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 3-2 HT 1-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
22.09.2024 Guabira Guabira 0-3 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
09.07.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 3-1 HT 1-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
05.02.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-2 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
20.10.2022 Guabira Guabira 2-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
23.08.2021 Bolivar Bolivar 6-0 HT 2-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
2-4
AWAY Bolivar
0.79 xG 3.27
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 7
114 Passes 338
64% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar saw off Guabira 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 39% — and on the day Bolivar made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Guabira had 31% of the ball to Bolivar's 69%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.79 to 3.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guabira and 3.00 for Bolivar.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Bolivar?

Guabira 2-4 Bolivar in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Bolivar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guabira 39%, draw 22%, Bolivar 39%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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