Simba 1-0 Stellenbosch FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
62%
1.44
Over
38%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No Pick
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1
37%
1.93
2-3
34%
1.8
4-5
23%
6.3
6+
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.31
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
18.2
X/1
18%
3.76
X/2
17%
10.35
X/X
21%
3.68
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
4%
10.3
2/X
4%
20.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
55%
-8.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.8pp
63%
BTTS No
66%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Simba EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 20%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+41% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.5 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Simba
1-0
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
2.96 xG 0.42
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
332 Passes 221
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Simba vs Stellenbosch FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Simba edged past Stellenbosch FC 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Simba as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Simba had 57% of the ball to Stellenbosch FC's 43%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 2.96 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Simba's control.

What was the final score of Simba vs Stellenbosch FC?

Simba 1-0 Stellenbosch FC in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Simba vs Stellenbosch FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Simba win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Simba 46%, draw 28%, Stellenbosch FC 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Simba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Simba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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