Ethiopia Bunna 0-1 Sidama Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.8pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sidama Bunna EU Bookmakers 31%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.60/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.42
+61% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sidama Bunna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna 2-0 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
03.03.2024 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 3-0 HT 0-0 Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
0-1
AWAY Sidama Bunna
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Sidama Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sidama Bunna squeezed past Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Sidama Bunna found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 48% of the ball to Sidama Bunna's 52%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ethiopia Bunna and 1.00 for Sidama Bunna.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Sidama Bunna?

Ethiopia Bunna 0-1 Sidama Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Sidama Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 36%, draw 31%, Sidama Bunna 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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