20/04/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Heart of Lions vs Accra Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
54%
24%
Draw
29%
17%
Away Win
17%
32%
BTTS Yes
33%
68%
BTTS No
67%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heart of Lions v Accra Lions — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Heart of Lions
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Accra Lions
EU Bookmakers 20%
-12% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-8% /
-14%
0.86/0.55
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.41/1.25
-31%
/
-6%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-31%
/
-3%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
2
4
Corners
4
342 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
244 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.7
Yellow Cards
2.3
Heart of Lions vs Accra Lions Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Heart of Lions
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Accra Lions
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
1
1
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Heart of Lions vs Accra Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Heart of Lions beat Accra Lions 3-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Heart of Lions as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Heart of Lions vs Accra Lions?
Heart of Lions 3-1 Accra Lions in the Gana - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heart of Lions vs Accra Lions?
Before kick-off our model rated a Heart of Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Heart of Lions 59%, draw 24%, Accra Lions 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heart of Lions) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Heart of Lions)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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