Resources Capital FC 4-3 Tuen Mun SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-11.8pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.0pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.8pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.4pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Resources Capital FC EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuen Mun SA EU Bookmakers 15%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/3.35
+1% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
455 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Resources Capital FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tuen Mun SA
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.12.2024 Tuen Mun SA Tuen Mun SA 2-2 Resources Capital FC Resources Capital FC HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Resources Capital FC
4-3
AWAY Tuen Mun SA
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Resources Capital FC vs Tuen Mun SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Resources Capital FC nicked a narrow win over Tuen Mun SA 4-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Resources Capital FC as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Resources Capital FC had 60% of the ball to Tuen Mun SA's 40%, shots finished 17-5.

What was the final score of Resources Capital FC vs Tuen Mun SA?

Resources Capital FC 4-3 Tuen Mun SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Resources Capital FC vs Tuen Mun SA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Resources Capital FC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Resources Capital FC 60%, draw 22%, Tuen Mun SA 18%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Resources Capital FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Resources Capital FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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