PSV Eindhoven (K) 5-1 Heerenveen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.11
Draw
26%
8.11
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.75
No
53%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
32%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
85%
-21.6pp
26%
Draw
9%
+16.9pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.7pp
53%
BTTS No
68%
-14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
3.09/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.60
+9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 68%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.4 Crosses 11.3
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
20.04.2024 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) 5-0 HT 2-0 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) HOLK1
25.11.2023 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K)
5-1
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
56% Ball Possession 44%
26 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 0
353 Passes 274
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
45 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Heerenveen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven (K) cruised past Heerenveen (K) 5-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PSV Eindhoven (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven (K) had 56% of the ball to Heerenveen (K)'s 44%, shots finished 26-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for PSV Eindhoven (K) and 0.50 for Heerenveen (K).

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

PSV Eindhoven (K) 5-1 Heerenveen (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven (K) 63%, draw 26%, Heerenveen (K) 11%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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