Al Salmiyah 2-3 Al Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.07
Over Pick
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.83
2-3
37%
1.81
4-5
26%
3.0
6+
10%
9.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-5.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 57%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.22/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.02
-2% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +16%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
213 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Salmiyah
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Arabi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
06.11.2024 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
11.05.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
30.03.2024 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
21.12.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
25.08.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
POST-MATCH Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi edged past Al Salmiyah 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Arabi as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Salmiyah and 1.83 for Al Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi?

Al Salmiyah 2-3 Al Arabi in the Kuwait - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Salmiyah 27%, draw 25%, Al Arabi 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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