Super Nova 1-2 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
16.01
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
61%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.6
No
54%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
3%
+14.1pp
21%
Draw
12%
+9.2pp
61%
Away Win
84%
-23.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
34%
+11.5pp
54%
BTTS No
66%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
0.71/2.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.68
-14% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 84%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 45.0
13.1 Crosses 27.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Super Nova
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
0.46 xG 3.19
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
242 Passes 474
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 56
10 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.11.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-4 HT 0-3 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
13.08.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 3-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
04.06.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 1-6 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
24.04.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-1 HT 1-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
23.10.2022 Super Nova Super Nova 0-4 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
07.08.2022 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-3 HT 1-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Super Nova
1-2
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.47 xG 1.89
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
146 Passes 496
64% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 31
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Super Nova vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola edged past Super Nova 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Super Nova had 29% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 71%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.47 to 1.89 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rigas Skola's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Super Nova and 3.83 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of Super Nova vs Rigas Skola?

Super Nova 1-2 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 17%, draw 21%, Rigas Skola 61%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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