Macara 3-1 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 20 Apr 2026

📅20/04/2026 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.8pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
1.37/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.44
-16% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
20.7 Crosses 15.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.96 xG 1.22
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
220 Passes 355
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-2 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
27.04.2025 Macara Macara 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
16.09.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-1 HT 1-1 Macara Macara EKV1
30.03.2024 Macara Macara 1-1 HT 1-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
11.09.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 5-3 HT 2-2 Macara Macara EKV1
25.04.2022 Macara Macara 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
3-1
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.35 xG 0.79
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
343 Passes 242
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Macara vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macara beat Barcelona SC 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Macara as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Macara had 57% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 43%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.35 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Macara and 1.67 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Macara vs Barcelona SC?

Macara 3-1 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Macara 43%, draw 24%, Barcelona SC 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macara) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Macara) ✗ Under 2.5
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