Bolivar 4-1 Real Tomayapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-15.6pp
19%
Draw
13%
+6.1pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Tomayapo EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
2.07/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.81
+27% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +22%
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
21.4 Crosses 13.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Real Tomayapo
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.52 xG 0.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
337 Passes 238
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 4-1 HT 2-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
04.06.2023 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 0-0 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
19.09.2022 Bolivar Bolivar 4-1 HT 2-1 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
13.05.2022 Bolivar Bolivar 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
06.03.2022 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 1-1 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
27.09.2021 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 1-3 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
4-1
AWAY Real Tomayapo
1.34 xG 1.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
23 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
456 Passes 149
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
35 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Real Tomayapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar ran out comfortable winners over Real Tomayapo 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bolivar had 70% of the ball to Real Tomayapo's 30%, shots finished 23-15, expected goals 1.34 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bolivar and 0.67 for Real Tomayapo.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Real Tomayapo?

Bolivar 4-1 Real Tomayapo in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Real Tomayapo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 65%, draw 19%, Real Tomayapo 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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