HFX Wanderers 1-2 Valour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 20 May 2024

HFX Wanderers
1-2 HT 0-0
Valour
📅20/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

HFX Wanderers vs Valour Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HFX Wanderers v Valour — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Valour EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
2.13/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.81
+6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.2 Crosses 16.6
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

HFX Wanderers vs Valour Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Valour
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.61 xG 0.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
348 Passes 382
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
26.08.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-0 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
10.06.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Valour Valour CAPL
06.05.2023 Valour Valour 0-0 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
10.09.2022 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Valour Valour CAPL
13.08.2022 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Valour Valour CAPL

HFX Wanderers 1-2 Valour — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
1-2
AWAY Valour
1.26 xG 0.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
349 Passes 286
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs Valour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valour edged past HFX Wanderers 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was HFX Wanderers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 52% of the ball to Valour's 48%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 1.26 to 0.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured HFX Wanderers.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HFX Wanderers had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for HFX Wanderers and 0.00 for Valour.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Valour?

HFX Wanderers 1-2 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Valour?

Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 47%, draw 26%, Valour 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HFX Wanderers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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