AS Sale 2-1 Chabab Ben Guerir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.3pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.4pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Sale EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.03/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.98
-1% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Sale
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
18.11.2023 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 1-0 HT 1-0 AS Sale AS Sale FAS2
09.04.2023 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 0-0 HT 0-0 AS Sale AS Sale FAS2
23.10.2022 AS Sale AS Sale 0-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
POST-MATCH AS Sale vs Chabab Ben Guerir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Sale nicked a narrow win over Chabab Ben Guerir 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and on the day AS Sale made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chabab Ben Guerir led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for AS Sale and 0.33 for Chabab Ben Guerir.

What was the final score of AS Sale vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

AS Sale 2-1 Chabab Ben Guerir in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Sale vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Sale win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AS Sale 37%, draw 33%, Chabab Ben Guerir 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Sale) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AS Sale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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