Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.1
Over 2.5
61%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.2pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 34%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.51/3.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/1.69
-65% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +97% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Panevezys II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
08.06.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-4 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
2-0
AWAY Panevezys II
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II got the better of Panevezys II 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Kauno Zalgiris II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 49% of the ball to Panevezys II's 51%, shots finished 19-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 2.00 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Panevezys II?

Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 40%, draw 26%, Panevezys II 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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