Al Mokawloon 1-1 Pharco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
5.99
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.9pp
34%
Draw
34%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Pharco EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -11%
1.17/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.91
-31% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
18.6 Crosses 13.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Pharco
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.05 xG 0.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
270 Passes 284
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2023 Pharco Pharco 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
01.03.2023 Pharco Pharco 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
31.10.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
23.08.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 2-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
18.04.2022 Pharco Pharco 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
1-1
AWAY Pharco
1.19 xG 1.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
233 Passes 322
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs Pharco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon and Pharco couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 34% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 44% of the ball to Pharco's 56%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.19 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pharco led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Al Mokawloon and 0.80 for Pharco.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Pharco?

Al Mokawloon 1-1 Pharco in the Egypt - Premier League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Pharco?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 33%, draw 34%, Pharco 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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