Kvik Halden 2-3 Notodden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kvik Halden EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Notodden EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.81/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.27
+1% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kvik Halden
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Notodden
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
15.10.2022 Notodden Notodden 2-1 HT 1-0 Kvik Halden Kvik Halden NOR3
18.04.2022 Kvik Halden Kvik Halden 3-0 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
POST-MATCH Kvik Halden vs Notodden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notodden edged past Kvik Halden 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kvik Halden at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kvik Halden and 1.00 for Notodden.

What was the final score of Kvik Halden vs Notodden?

Kvik Halden 2-3 Notodden in the Norway - 2nd Division on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kvik Halden vs Notodden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kvik Halden win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kvik Halden 42%, draw 29%, Notodden 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kvik Halden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kvik Halden) ✓ BTTS Yes
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