Skedsmo 1-2 Gjellerasen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.17
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.32
No
49%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+7.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-8.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
72%
-20.6pp
49%
BTTS No
28%
+20.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skedsmo EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Gjellerasen EU Bookmakers 51%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.58/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.12
-68% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +50%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skedsmo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gjellerasen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
07.10.2023 Gjellerasen Gjellerasen 6-1 HT 3-0 Skedsmo Skedsmo NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skedsmo
1-2
AWAY Gjellerasen
46% Ball Possession 54%
27 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Skedsmo vs Gjellerasen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gjellerasen edged past Skedsmo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Gjellerasen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Skedsmo had 46% of the ball to Gjellerasen's 54%, shots finished 27-8.

What was the final score of Skedsmo vs Gjellerasen?

Skedsmo 1-2 Gjellerasen in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skedsmo vs Gjellerasen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skedsmo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Skedsmo 39%, draw 22%, Gjellerasen 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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