Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.75/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.68
+26% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Miramar Misiones
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
18 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
04.05.2014 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 3-2 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2-1
AWAY Miramar Misiones
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) squeezed past Miramar Misiones 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 60% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 40%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Miramar Misiones?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 47%, draw 28%, Miramar Misiones 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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