Spokane Velocity 0-3 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 20 May 2024

Spokane Velocity
0-3 HT 0-2
Forward Madison
📅20/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2024

Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+5.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spokane Velocity v Forward Madison — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 34%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -9%
1.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.43
+2% / +143% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
– Crosses 13.8
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Spokane Velocity 0-3 Forward Madison — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spokane Velocity
0-3
AWAY Forward Madison
1.62 xG 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
465 Passes 386
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison cruised past Spokane Velocity 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Spokane Velocity at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Spokane Velocity had 54% of the ball to Forward Madison's 46%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.62 to 0.80 — the balance of chances actually favoured Spokane Velocity.

What was the final score of Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison?

Spokane Velocity 0-3 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Spokane Velocity 49%, draw 24%, Forward Madison 26%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Spokane Velocity) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✓ Over 2.5
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