Miami AC 2-1 Sarasota Paradise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 20 May 2024

Miami AC
2-1 HT 1-0
Sarasota Paradise
📅20/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
USA - USL League 2 – 2024

Miami AC vs Sarasota Paradise Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.5pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Miami AC v Sarasota Paradise — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami AC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarasota Paradise EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.67/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.00
-62% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
7.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Miami AC vs Sarasota Paradise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miami AC nicked a narrow win over Sarasota Paradise 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Miami AC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Miami AC vs Sarasota Paradise?

Miami AC 2-1 Sarasota Paradise in the USA - USL League 2 on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami AC vs Sarasota Paradise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sarasota Paradise win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Miami AC 36%, draw 23%, Sarasota Paradise 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarasota Paradise) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarasota Paradise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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