Guangxi Hengchen 2-1 Meizhou Hakka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 20 May 2025

📅20/05/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
49%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.29
2-3 Goals
34%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 31% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
14%
+12.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.8pp
50%
Away Win
66%
-16.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -74% / -74%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Hengchen nicked a narrow win over Meizhou Hakka 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Meizhou Hakka at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka?

Guangxi Hengchen 2-1 Meizhou Hakka in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Meizhou Hakka win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Hengchen 27%, draw 24%, Meizhou Hakka 50%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Meizhou Hakka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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