Zlate Moravce 1-1 Trencin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 20 May 2025

📅20/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zlate Moravce EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Trencin EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.75/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.45
+19% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
26.8 Crosses 18.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zlate Moravce
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Trencin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.26 xG 1.36
42% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
218 Passes 344
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Trencin Trencin 4-1 HT 2-0 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK
17.09.2023 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 1-2 HT 0-1 Trencin Trencin SLVK
12.05.2023 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 1-2 HT 1-1 Trencin Trencin SLVK
15.04.2023 Trencin Trencin 2-1 HT 0-0 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK
18.02.2023 Trencin Trencin 1-1 HT 1-0 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK
03.09.2022 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 1-0 HT 1-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zlate Moravce
1-1
AWAY Trencin
0.23 xG 2.21
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
137 Passes 445
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zlate Moravce vs Trencin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zlate Moravce and Trencin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Zlate Moravce had 32% of the ball to Trencin's 68%, shots finished 5-26, expected goals 0.23 to 2.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trencin led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zlate Moravce and 1.83 for Trencin.

What was the final score of Zlate Moravce vs Trencin?

Zlate Moravce 1-1 Trencin in the Slovakia Super League on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zlate Moravce vs Trencin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zlate Moravce win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zlate Moravce 40%, draw 27%, Trencin 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zlate Moravce), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zlate Moravce) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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