İtalya U17 2-1 Çek Cumhuriyeti U17 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U17 Championship, 20 May 2025

📅20/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.1pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U17 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Çek Cumhuriyeti U17 EU Bookmakers 21%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-54% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U17
2-1
AWAY Çek Cumhuriyeti U17
2.14 xG 0.79
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 Passes 217
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İtalya U17 vs Çek Cumhuriyeti U17
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U17 nicked a narrow win over Çek Cumhuriyeti U17 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had İtalya U17 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İtalya U17 had 54% of the ball to Çek Cumhuriyeti U17's 46%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.14 to 0.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İtalya U17's control.

What was the final score of İtalya U17 vs Çek Cumhuriyeti U17?

İtalya U17 2-1 Çek Cumhuriyeti U17 in the European U17 Championship on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U17 vs Çek Cumhuriyeti U17?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya U17 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split İtalya U17 53%, draw 25%, Çek Cumhuriyeti U17 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya U17) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İtalya U17) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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