Plaza Colonia 1-2 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 20 May 2025

Plaza Colonia
1-2 HT 1-0
Danubio
📅20/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2025

Plaza Colonia vs Danubio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Plaza Colonia v Danubio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plaza Colonia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +17%
1.04/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.12
-13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Plaza Colonia vs Danubio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plaza Colonia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Danubio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 1-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
26.02.2023 Danubio Danubio 5-0 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
13.09.2022 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 1-1 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
21.07.2022 Danubio Danubio 2-0 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
10.04.2022 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 1-1 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
10.02.2021 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 3-0 HT 2-0 Danubio Danubio URU

Plaza Colonia 1-2 Danubio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plaza Colonia
1-2
AWAY Danubio
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Plaza Colonia vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio edged past Plaza Colonia 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Danubio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Plaza Colonia had 49% of the ball to Danubio's 51%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Plaza Colonia and 1.50 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Plaza Colonia vs Danubio?

Plaza Colonia 1-2 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plaza Colonia vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Plaza Colonia 34%, draw 31%, Danubio 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Danubio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Danubio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →