Naegohyang (K) 2-1 Suwon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞLK, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.8pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naegohyang (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +66% / +66%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +104% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Naegohyang (K) vs Suwon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naegohyang (K) squeezed past Suwon (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Naegohyang (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Naegohyang (K) vs Suwon (K)?

Naegohyang (K) 2-1 Suwon (K) in the AFCŞLK on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naegohyang (K) vs Suwon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naegohyang (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Naegohyang (K) 48%, draw 28%, Suwon (K) 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naegohyang (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naegohyang (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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