LDU Portoviejo 1-1 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Portoviejo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Portoviejo
1-1
AWAY Libertad
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LDU Portoviejo vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Portoviejo and Libertad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, LDU Portoviejo had 48% of the ball to Libertad's 52%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of LDU Portoviejo vs Libertad?

LDU Portoviejo 1-1 Libertad in the Ecuador - Cup on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Portoviejo vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Portoviejo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split LDU Portoviejo 38%, draw 30%, Libertad 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LDU Portoviejo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Portoviejo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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