Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 Orsomarso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 20 May 2026

Fortaleza CEIF
1-1 HT 0-1
Orsomarso
📅20/05/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Cup – 2026

Fortaleza CEIF vs Orsomarso Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.37
Draw
15%
4.34
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
69%
-1.0pp
16%
Draw
20%
-4.4pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortaleza CEIF v Orsomarso — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Orsomarso EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.11/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.28
+1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +56%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Fortaleza CEIF vs Orsomarso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Orsomarso
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Orsomarso Orsomarso 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLB
18.02.2023 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 3-1 HT 1-0 Orsomarso Orsomarso KOLB
30.09.2022 Orsomarso Orsomarso 0-4 HT 0-2 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLB
07.03.2022 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 6-2 HT 3-0 Orsomarso Orsomarso KOLB
25.09.2021 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 4-0 HT 3-0 Orsomarso Orsomarso KOLB
14.03.2021 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 3-1 HT 1-1 Orsomarso Orsomarso KOLB
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Orsomarso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF and Orsomarso couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fortaleza CEIF at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 0.67 for Orsomarso.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Orsomarso?

Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 Orsomarso in the Colombia - Cup on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Orsomarso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 68%, draw 16%, Orsomarso 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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