Aalesund 2-1 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 20 May 2026

Aalesund
2-1 HT 1-0
Brann
📅20/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Aalesund vs Brann Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
52%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.51
Over Pick
65%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.45
No
38%
2.56
Total Goals
0-1
19%
5.17
2-3
34%
1.96
4-5
30%
2.59
6+
17%
6.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.64
1/2 ✗
11%
20.45
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
12%
7.42
X/2
20%
5.16
X/X
9%
5.95
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
21%
2.65
2/X
4%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.45 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Aalesund v Brann — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Aalesund The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann The Market 50%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.16 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.71
2.02 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.24
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 83%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.8
19.0 Crosses 17.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.1

Aalesund vs Brann Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Brann
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.73 xG 3.23
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
218 Passes 443
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 44
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.04.2026 Brann Brann 2-1 HT 2-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOK
20.08.2023 Brann Brann 5-1 HT 3-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
07.06.2023 Aalesund Aalesund 3-3 HT 2-1 Brann Brann NOK
04.06.2023 Aalesund Aalesund 1-3 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
28.11.2020 Brann Brann 3-1 HT 2-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
24.06.2020 Aalesund Aalesund 2-2 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR

Aalesund 2-1 Brann — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalesund
2-1
AWAY Brann
2.37 xG 1.09
42% Ball Possession 58%
25 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
241 Passes 356
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 35
18 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Aalesund vs Brann
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aalesund nicked a narrow win over Brann 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Brann at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) landed.

On the day, Aalesund had 42% of the ball to Brann's 58%, shots finished 25-12, expected goals 2.37 to 1.09 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aalesund's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brann led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aalesund and 3.00 for Brann.

Aalesund vs Brann Result & Final Score

Aalesund 2-1 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aalesund vs Brann Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 28%, draw 20%, Brann 52%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brann) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brann) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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