Chernihiv 1-3 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Cup, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒18:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
16.01
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
71%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.67
No
58%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
4%
+9.7pp
16%
Draw
11%
+4.6pp
71%
Away Win
85%
-14.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
33%
+8.5pp
58%
BTTS No
67%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernihiv EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +30%
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
180 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chernihiv
1-3
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 13
1 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chernihiv vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev beat Chernihiv 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chernihiv had 35% of the ball to Dynamo Kiev's 65%, shots finished 4-21.

What was the final score of Chernihiv vs Dynamo Kiev?

Chernihiv 1-3 Dynamo Kiev in the Ukraine - Cup on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernihiv vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Chernihiv 13%, draw 16%, Dynamo Kiev 71%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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