Shashemene Kenema 1-2 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
32%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
19%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
56%
Away Win
56%
+0.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.1pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shashemene Kenema EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shashemene Kenema
1-2
AWAY Fasil Ketema
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 1
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shashemene Kenema vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema squeezed past Shashemene Kenema 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fasil Ketema as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shashemene Kenema had 47% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 53%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Shashemene Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?

Shashemene Kenema 1-2 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shashemene Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Shashemene Kenema 19%, draw 25%, Fasil Ketema 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fasil Ketema) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fasil Ketema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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