Aalesund II 1-3 Molde II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.17
Over 2.5
56%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.33
No
46%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.7pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
71%
-17.0pp
46%
BTTS No
29%
+17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde II EU Bookmakers 31%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
0.45/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/2.47
-80% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund II
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Molde II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2022 Aalesund II Aalesund II 5-2 HT 3-1 Molde II Molde II NOR4
18.06.2022 Molde II Molde II 1-0 HT 0-0 Aalesund II Aalesund II NOR4
26.09.2021 Molde II Molde II 0-1 HT 0-1 Aalesund II Aalesund II NOR4
POST-MATCH Aalesund II vs Molde II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde II saw off Aalesund II 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aalesund II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aalesund II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aalesund II and 1.00 for Molde II.

What was the final score of Aalesund II vs Molde II?

Aalesund II 1-3 Molde II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund II vs Molde II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aalesund II 43%, draw 25%, Molde II 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalesund II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalesund II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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