Cong An Nhan Dan 5-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.9pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.0pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
2.09/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.93
+51% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +40%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.12.2023 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 3-1 HT 1-0 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan VİET
29.07.2023 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 0-2 HT 0-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
08.04.2023 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 1-1 HT 0-0 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan
5-1
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cong An Nhan Dan vs Xi Mang Hai Phong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cong An Nhan Dan cruised past Xi Mang Hai Phong 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Cong An Nhan Dan found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cong An Nhan Dan had 54% of the ball to Xi Mang Hai Phong's 46%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Xi Mang Hai Phong led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cong An Nhan Dan and 2.00 for Xi Mang Hai Phong.

What was the final score of Cong An Nhan Dan vs Xi Mang Hai Phong?

Cong An Nhan Dan 5-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cong An Nhan Dan vs Xi Mang Hai Phong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cong An Nhan Dan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cong An Nhan Dan 39%, draw 32%, Xi Mang Hai Phong 29%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan) ✗ BTTS No
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