Midtjylland 1-0 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jun 2026

Midtjylland
1-0 HT 0-0
Lilleström
📅20/06/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Midtjylland vs Lilleström Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.18
Over 2.5
62%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.12
2-3 Goals
32%
1.81
4-5 Goals
30%
2.8
6+ Goals
15%
8.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
42%
-4.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
58%
+4.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.6pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Midtjylland v Lilleström — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström EU Bookmakers 34%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.60/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.71
+63% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +107%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Midtjylland 1-0 Lilleström — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
1-0
AWAY Lilleström
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland edged past Lilleström 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Midtjylland had 53% of the ball to Lilleström's 47%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Lilleström?

Midtjylland 1-0 Lilleström in the Friendlies on 20/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Lilleström?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 48%, draw 24%, Lilleström 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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