Notodden 1-2 Mjondalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 20 Jun 2026

📅20/06/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.97
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
8.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notodden EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.49/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-16% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notodden
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mjondalen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.08.2021 Notodden Notodden 0-3 HT 0-2 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOK
18.01.2019 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-1 HT 2-0 Notodden Notodden HAZ
02.09.2018 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-1 HT 0-1 Notodden Notodden NOR1
03.07.2018 Notodden Notodden 1-0 HT 1-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
09.09.2012 Notodden Notodden 0-2 HT 0-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
22.07.2012 Mjondalen Mjondalen 2-2 HT 2-2 Notodden Notodden NOR1
POST-MATCH Notodden vs Mjondalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjondalen squeezed past Notodden 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Mjondalen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjondalen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Notodden and 1.83 for Mjondalen.

What was the final score of Notodden vs Mjondalen?

Notodden 1-2 Mjondalen in the Norway - 2nd Division on 20/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notodden vs Mjondalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notodden win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Notodden 40%, draw 26%, Mjondalen 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Notodden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Notodden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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