Tobacco Road 0-5 Asheville City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 20 Jun 2026

Tobacco Road
0-5 HT 0-2
Asheville City
📅20/06/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2026

Tobacco Road vs Asheville City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
60%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
42%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.1pp
60%
Away Win
58%
+2.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.5pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tobacco Road v Asheville City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobacco Road EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Asheville City EU Bookmakers 62%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.78/3.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/1.41
+36% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Tobacco Road vs Asheville City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asheville City swept aside Tobacco Road 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Asheville City as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

What was the final score of Tobacco Road vs Asheville City?

Tobacco Road 0-5 Asheville City in the USA - USL League 2 on 20/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobacco Road vs Asheville City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asheville City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tobacco Road 20%, draw 20%, Asheville City 60%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asheville City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asheville City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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