Dumbarton 3-4 Airdrieonian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
8%
8.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.6pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
52%
Away Win
59%
-6.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.7pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonian EU Bookmakers 62%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.00/4.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-100% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Airdrieonian
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.07.2023 Airdrieonian Airdrieonian 2-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKLK
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Airdrieonian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airdrieonian nicked a narrow win over Dumbarton 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Airdrieonian as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Airdrieonian?

Dumbarton 3-4 Airdrieonian in the Scotland - League Cup on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Airdrieonian?

Before kick-off our model rated an Airdrieonian win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 26%, draw 21%, Airdrieonian 52%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Airdrieonian), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Airdrieonian) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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