Thor Akureyri 0-1 Throttur Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.1pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 28%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -20%
2.49/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.25
+2% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
03.05.2024 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
16.08.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
10.06.2023 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 3-0 HT 1-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
18.09.2021 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 2-3 HT 2-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
09.07.2021 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 5-1 HT 2-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
29.08.2020 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 3-0 HT 1-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs Throttur Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Throttur Reykjavik nicked a narrow win over Thor Akureyri 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Thor Akureyri at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thor Akureyri had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Thor Akureyri and 1.33 for Throttur Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Thor Akureyri 0-1 Throttur Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 48%, draw 25%, Throttur Reykjavik 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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