Esbjerg 1-2 Odense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.58
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.66
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.85
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
13%
7.12
X/2
16%
4.8
X/X
8%
5.59
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
17%
2.7
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Odense EU Bookmakers 50%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Odense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.83 xG 1.11
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
268 Passes 375
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2020 Odense Odense 3-1 HT 3-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN
04.08.2019 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-1 HT 0-0 Odense Odense DAN
10.05.2019 Odense Odense 4-1 HT 2-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN
23.04.2019 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-0 HT 0-0 Odense Odense DAN
27.02.2019 Odense Odense 1-1 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAK
11.11.2018 Odense Odense 2-1 HT 1-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
1-2
AWAY Odense
0.98 xG 1.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 11
305 Passes 332
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs Odense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odense edged past Esbjerg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Odense as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Esbjerg had 47% of the ball to Odense's 53%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.98 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odense led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Esbjerg and 1.83 for Odense.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Odense?

Esbjerg 1-2 Odense in the Denmark 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Odense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 34%, draw 24%, Odense 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Odense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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