KuPS Ak. 1-2 PKKU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 20 Jul 2024

KuPS Ak.
1-2 HT 0-0
PKKU
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
FİN3 – 2024

KuPS Ak. vs PKKU Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
6.35
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
46%
2.11
4-5 Goals
27%
2.53
6+ Goals
11%
5.39
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.11 — our 46% vs market 41.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.1pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.2pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+9.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+7.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.4pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KuPS Ak. v PKKU — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY PKKU EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

KuPS Ak. vs PKKU Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Ak.
2W-0D-1L
AWAY PKKU
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.05.2024 PKKU PKKU 1-2 HT 1-2 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN3
30.07.2022 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 4-0 HT 2-0 PKKU PKKU FİNKAK
14.05.2022 PKKU PKKU 2-0 HT 1-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİNKAK
POST-MATCH KuPS Ak. vs PKKU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PKKU edged past KuPS Ak. 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 20% / 41%) promised a tight game; PKKU found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, KuPS Ak. had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for KuPS Ak. and 1.00 for PKKU.

What was the final score of KuPS Ak. vs PKKU?

KuPS Ak. 1-2 PKKU in the FİN3 on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Ak. vs PKKU?

Before kick-off our model rated an PKKU win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KuPS Ak. 39%, draw 20%, PKKU 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PKKU), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PKKU) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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