Gangwon 4-0 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 20 Jul 2024

Gangwon
4-0 HT 3-0
Jeju United
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Gangwon vs Jeju United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 28% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.86
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
10%
4.75
X/2
16%
6.95
X/X
12%
4.79
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
13%
4.89
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+8.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gangwon v Jeju United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.05
+43% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
28.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Gangwon vs Jeju United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Jeju United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
298 Passes 384
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.06.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-2 HT 0-2 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
02.03.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
28.10.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
06.08.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
03.06.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 2-2 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
09.04.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK

Gangwon 4-0 Jeju United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
4-0
AWAY Jeju United
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
497 Passes 428
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon ran out comfortable winners over Jeju United 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Gangwon made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gangwon had 56% of the ball to Jeju United's 44%, shots finished 18-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gangwon and 1.17 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Jeju United?

Gangwon 4-0 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 38%, draw 25%, Jeju United 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gangwon) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gangwon) ✗ BTTS Yes
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