Universitatea Craiova 4-2 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
30%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-12.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+11.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.98/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.21
+2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +22%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
484 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
4W-2D-0L
AWAY UTA Arad
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.39 xG 1.16
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
587 Passes 228
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-2 HT 2-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
01.11.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROMK
18.08.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 3-0 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
10.03.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-1 HT 0-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
23.10.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-2 HT 1-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
14.12.2021 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
4-2
AWAY UTA Arad
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova saw off UTA Arad 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 66% of the ball to UTA Arad's 34%, shots finished 18-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 0.67 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs UTA Arad?

Universitatea Craiova 4-2 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 46%, draw 25%, UTA Arad 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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