Mladost Lucani 1-2 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.71
Over 2.5
35%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.82
No
63%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
55%
+10.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
45%
-10.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
51%
-14.2pp
63%
BTTS No
49%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.48/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.50
+27% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +149%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.1 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
1-2
AWAY OFK Beograd
1.10 xG 2.25
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
247 Passes 423
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd squeezed past Mladost Lucani 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mladost Lucani at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 40% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 60%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.10 to 2.25.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd?

Mladost Lucani 1-2 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mladost Lucani win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 42%, draw 26%, OFK Beograd 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mladost Lucani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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