Mura 1-0 Nafta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

Mura
1-0 HT 0-0
Nafta
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Mura vs Nafta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.47
6+ Goals
13%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 27% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mura v Nafta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Nafta EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards –

Mura vs Nafta Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nafta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
24.06.2020 Nafta Nafta 0-2 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVNK

Mura 1-0 Nafta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
1-0
AWAY Nafta
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mura vs Nafta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mura nicked a narrow win over Nafta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mura as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mura had 54% of the ball to Nafta's 46%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Mura vs Nafta?

Mura 1-0 Nafta in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Nafta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mura 41%, draw 24%, Nafta 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mura) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mura) ✗ Over 2.5
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