İngiltere U19 (K) 1-0 Fransa U19 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19 Women's, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.75
Over
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İngiltere U19 (K) The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fransa U19 (K) The Market 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
232 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
Crosses 16.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İngiltere U19 (K)
1-0
AWAY Fransa U19 (K)
0.87 xG 0.81
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
249 Passes 321
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İngiltere U19 (K) vs Fransa U19 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere U19 (K) nicked a narrow win over Fransa U19 (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; İngiltere U19 (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İngiltere U19 (K) had 45% of the ball to Fransa U19 (K)'s 55%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.87 to 0.81.

What was the final score of İngiltere U19 (K) vs Fransa U19 (K)?

İngiltere U19 (K) 1-0 Fransa U19 (K) in the European U19 Women's on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İngiltere U19 (K) vs Fransa U19 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İngiltere U19 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split İngiltere U19 (K) 40%, draw 26%, Fransa U19 (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere U19 (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İngiltere U19 (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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