Castelbar vs Longford Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Castelbar v Longford Town — Team-Based Signals
Castelbar 3-6 Longford Town — Actual Match Statistics
Longford Town cruised past Castelbar 6-3 away from home. The game was level at 3-3 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Longford Town as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Castelbar had 38% of the ball to Longford Town's 62%, shots finished 10-25.
What was the final score of Castelbar vs Longford Town?
Castelbar 3-6 Longford Town in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Castelbar vs Longford Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Longford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Castelbar 30%, draw 20%, Longford Town 50%. The final score 3-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Longford Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.