Aurora 1-0 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.7pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.5pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
1-0
AWAY Guastatoya
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora squeezed past Guastatoya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Aurora had 51% of the ball to Guastatoya's 49%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Guastatoya?

Aurora 1-0 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aurora 42%, draw 33%, Guastatoya 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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