SSC Farul 3-2 Otelul Galati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
23.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 35% vs market 32.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
44%
-11.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
39%
Away Win
28%
+11.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Otelul Galati EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.21/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.39
-6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 69%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
13.2 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Farul
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Otelul Galati
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
0.45 xG 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
338 Passes 214
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
10 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 0-0 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
22.11.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-1 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
22.07.2024 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 0-0 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
24.02.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 1-1 HT 1-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
08.10.2023 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 0-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Farul
3-2
AWAY Otelul Galati
1.47 xG 2.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
265 Passes 257
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SSC Farul vs Otelul Galati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul edged past Otelul Galati 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; SSC Farul found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SSC Farul had 50% of the ball to Otelul Galati's 50%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 1.47 to 2.05 — on chances, Otelul Galati could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for SSC Farul and 0.40 for Otelul Galati.

What was the final score of SSC Farul vs Otelul Galati?

SSC Farul 3-2 Otelul Galati in the Romania - 1st Division on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Farul vs Otelul Galati?

Before kick-off our model rated an Otelul Galati win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SSC Farul 33%, draw 28%, Otelul Galati 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Otelul Galati) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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